Wednesday, March 31, 2010
2010 MLB Predictions
To try something new and bold, I'm going to rate each team in three categories from 1-10: offense, pitching, and the "eye-test", basically just how the team looks overall on paper as well as other intangibles.
American League
East
1. Yankees
Offense- 9
Pitching- 8
Eye-Test- 9
Overall: 26
2. Red Sox (wild card)
Offense- 7
Pitching- 9
Eye-Test- 8
Overall: 24
3. Rays
Offense- 7
Pitching- 7
Eye-Test- 7
Overall: 21
4. Orioles
Offense- 7
Pitching- 4
Eye-Test- 5
Overall: 16
5. Blue Jays
Offense- 5
Pitching- 4
Eye-Test- 4
Overall: 13
Central
1. Twins
Offense- 7
Pitching- 7
Eye-Test-8
Overall: 22
2. White Sox
Offense- 7
Pitching- 8
Eye-test-7
Overall: 22
3. Tigers
Offense- 7
Pitching- 7
Eye-Test- 7
Overall: 21
4. Royals
Offense- 4
Pitching- 6
Eye-Test- 4
Overall- 14
5. Indians
Offense- 4
Pitching- 4
Eye-Test-4
Overall: 12
West
1. Angels
Offense- 7
Pitching- 8
Eye-Test-7
Overall: 22
2. Mariners
Offense- 6
Pitching- 7
Eye-Test- 8
Overall: 21
3. Rangers
Offense- 7
Pitching- 5
Eye-Test- 6
Overall: 18
4. Athletics
Offense- 5
Pitching- 5
Eye-Test- 5
Overall: 15
National League
East
1. Phillies
Offense- 9
Pitching- 8
Eye-Test- 9
Overall: 26
2. Braves (wild card)
Offense- 7
Pitching- 8
Eye-Test- 8
Overall: 23
3. Marlins
Offense- 7
Pitching- 7
Eye-Test- 6
Overall: 20
4. Mets
Offense- 7
Pitching- 5
Eye-Test- 5
Overall: 19
5. Nationals
Offense- 5
Pitching- 3
Eye-Test- 3
Overall: 11
Central
1. Cardinals
Offense- 7
Pitching- 8
Eye-Test- 8
Overall: 23
2. Cubs
Offense- 6
Pitching- 7
Eye-Test- 7
Overall: 20
3. Brewers
Offense- 7
Pitching- 5
Eye-Test- 7
Overall: 19
4. Reds
Offense- 6
Pitching- 7
Eye-Test- 6
Overall: 19
5. Astros
Offense- 7
Pitching- 6
Eye-Test- 6
Overall: 19
6. Pirates
Offense- 4
Pitching- 4
Eye-Test- 3
Overall: 11
West
1. Rockies
Offense- 8
Pitching- 7
Eye-Test-7
Overall: 22
2. Dodgers
Offense- 8
Pitching- 6
Eye-Test-7
Overall: 21
3. Giants
Offense- 5
Pitching- 8
Eye-Test-6
Overall: 19
4. Diamondbacks
Offense- 7
Pitching- 6
Eye-Test-6
Overall: 19
5. Padres
Offense- 5
Pitching- 4
Eye-Test- 5
Overall: 14
Playoffs
Twins over Red Sox Yankees over Angels Phillies over Cardinals Rockies over Braves
Twins over Yankees Phillies over Rockies
World Series: Phillies over Twins in 5 games
Saturday, March 27, 2010
Elite 8 Picks
Coach K getting HEATED in the post-game press conference. Excellent. Here are my Elite 8 picks, guaranteed to be better than my Sweet 16 picks.
Midwest Region
5 Michigan St. vs 6 Tennessee
I should have known better than to doubt Michigan St in March. They were able to beat everyone's sweetheart, Northern Iowa, without their best player, Kalen Lucas. Tennessee was able to get past Ohio State because Evan Turner was the only player that showed up for the Buckeyes. This should be a good, close game. Once again, I'll go against my better judgment and pick against Michigan St. I think Tennessee' athleticism will wear Michigan St. out in the end. Everyone who had Tennessee in the Final Four over Kansas, Ohio State, and Georgetown, raise your hand.
Tennessee 74 Michigan State 68
West Region
5 Butler vs 2 Kansas State
I should have also known better than to pick against anything with the name Butler. Butler looked very impressive in their win over Syracuse. This is not a typical "mid-major" team. They have plenty of depth and can hurt you several ways. Kansas State played in a hell of a game against Xavier, giving us all the Gus Johnson game we desired. Their guards, Pullen and Clemente, have been simply incredible. I do worry that Thursday's double OT game may have worn them out a bit though. This is a tough game to pick, but Butler's convincing performance against Syracuse has me sold on them.
Butler 68 Kansas State 65
East Region
1 Kentucky vs 2 West Virginia
Many people the best two remaining teams in the tourney are playing right here. It's hard to disagree with that. Kentucky's talent is undeniable. The only team that can beat Kentucky, is Kentucky. They go through periods where they just don't seem to care, kinda like every NBA team. If they do that against West Virginia, they're not gonna win the game. I picked West Virginia to win this game at the beginning of the tourney, so I guess I have to be a man and stick with that pick. It's getting harder and harder to pick against Kentucky however.
West Virginia 72 Kentucky 70
South Region
1 Duke vs 3 Baylor
After Villanova looked terrible in their first round game against Robert Morris, I said the only team in the South that could beat Duke is Baylor. Unfortunately, Duke will have to get past the Bears to reach the Final Four. It was a great sign to see Jon Scheyer play good basketball in the second half of the Purdue game. They will need him at his best to win this game. Baylor is exactly the type of athletic team that Duke has problems with. LaceDarius Dunn (what a name) and Tweety Carter have been a superb guard combo for Baylor, and Duke will have to play the same great perimeter defense they've been playing all season to stop them. This will be a battle, but in the end, the big game experience and Duke's big three will carry the Blue Devils to the Final Four.
Duke 75 Baylor 70
Friday, March 26, 2010
Tuesday, March 23, 2010
Sweet 16 Picks
Another year, another bracket completely destroyed. Kansas, the team that I said was head and shoulders above everyone else in the tournament, is out. Not that I mind; it was worth getting my bracket busted to see Northern Iowa pull off the upset.
It was a great opening weekend all around for the tournament, starting with the Robert Morris vs Villanova game (handed to Villanova by the refs, so glad they lost to St. Mary's), and ending with a Purdue/Texas A&M overtime game. Great games, great upsets, all that was missing was a good Gus Johnson game, but hopefully we'll get one in the Sweet 16.
Sweet 16 Picks
Midwest Region:
9 Northern Iowa vs 5 Michigan State
Everyone's new favorite team, Northern Iowa, will try to continue their Cinderella run against Michigan State without the Spartans' best player, Kalin Lucas. Even though they pulled off the win against Maryland, MSU did not look good after Lucas went down. Many people are already handing Northern Iowa the win with Lucas out, but I wouldn't count out Michigan State, who always plays better in the tournament. I think this will be a very close, low scoring game, and Cinderella survives another round.
Northern Iowa 61 Michigan State 56
6 Tennessee vs 2 Ohio State
These are two very similar teams and should make for an entertaining game. Both are athletic and like to speed up the game on offense. The difference will be Ohio State's Evan Turner, who should be named the Player of the Year. He'll be the main factor in a high scoring game.
Ohio State 82 Tennessee 74
West Region:
5 Butler vs 1 Syracuse
Syracuse looked great in their dismantling of Gonzaga in the second round. Gonzaga played poorly, but I think Syracuse would have beaten just about anyone with their performance. Wesley Johnson is an outstanding player, perhaps the second best player in the tourney behind Turner. Butler has talent with Gordon Hayward, Shelvin Mack, and Matt Howard, but Syracuse is simply a better team.
Syracuse 79 Butler 65
6 Xavier vs 2 Kansas State
I may have underestimated Kansas State a bit, who has looked great so far. Jacob Pullen might be the most underrated player in the country. They could definitely be a threat to Syracuse in this region. Xavier always seems to make a run to the Sweet 16 every couple of years, but never really becomes a factor in the end. K State should have no problem.
Kansas State 81 Xavier 67
East Region:
12 Cornell vs 1 Kentucky
Everyone thought ESPN analyst Jay Bilas was crazy when he picked Cornell to make the Elite 8 at the beginning of the tournament. Well the Big Red are a win away from doing just that. Cornell has looked great so far, easily taking care of Temple and Wisconsin, two top 25 teams. Kentucky has also looked great, and they are probably the odds on favorite to win now that Kansas is out. I would love to pick Cornell here, and I think they'll keep it close, but Kentucky's athleticism will win out in the end.
Kentucky 74 Cornell 67
11 Washington vs 2 West Virginia
Yawn. I don't think anyone really cares about this game. West Virginia will win easily.
West Virginia 76 Washington 60
South Region:
4 Purdue vs 1 Duke
I, like many people, thought Purdue has no chance in the tourney without their best player, Robbie Hummel. However, they've managed to make it to the Sweet 16. Duke looked pretty good in their win over Cal, especially with the unexpected production from Brian Zoubek. However, Jon Scheyer will have to shoot better than 1-11 if Duke wants to make the Final Four. I don't think they should have too much trouble with this Purdue team.
Duke 72 Purdue 60
10 St. Mary's vs 3 Baylor
Omar Samhan of St. Mary's might be the most unlikely looking dominating player in college basketball since Larry Bird. That being said, he has been tremendous so far in the tourney, along with the rest of the Gaels team. They'll go up against Baylor, a very athletic team who despite being a 3 seed, has kind of come out of nowhere. They have a ton of talent but are relatively inexperienced. This is a toss up for me, so I'll pick the team I'll be rooting for.
St. Mary's 65 Baylor 63
Wednesday, March 17, 2010
What's March Madness?
http://games.espn.go.com/tcmen/en/entry?entryID=561136
Final Four: Kansas, Syracuse, West Virginia, Duke
Finals: Kansas vs West Virginia
Champion: Kansas
Some thoughts:
- As everyone has been saying, the Midwest region is easily the most difficult. Kansas is clearly the best overall team, and Ohio State and Georgetown could have made the Final Four in any other bracket.
- Everyone has also been complaining that Duke has the easiest bracket. It's certainly easier than the Midwest, but I would have to say that Syracuse has the easiest path to the Final Four. Kansas State has no depth, Pitt is probably the weakest 3 seed, I have Vanderbilt losing in the first round, and the rest of the region isn't very deep. It wouldn't shock me to see Syracuse lose to Gonzaga in the 2nd round, however.
- I just can't pick Duke to beat West Virginia or Kentucky if it came to that. Both West Virginia and Kentucky are incredibly athletic, the exact type of teams Duke struggles with. I think this Duke team is much better than last year, which is why they can get past Villanova this year. I just don't see them getting past the East region winner, which will be either West Virginia or Kentucky.
- I really feel like Kansas is head and shoulders over everyone else this year. They have almost no weaknesses, they have depth, they have experience, they have everything a team needs to win the tournament. Their biggest challenge will be beat either Georgetown or Ohio State in the Elite Eight. I think they'll have no problem with the West region winner.
Here's to the best day of the year, the first day of March Madness.
Tuesday, March 9, 2010
Mock Draft #1
Sorry for the long layoff, faithful readers. Since the Super Bowl, we've had the NBA, Winter Olympics, and Tiger Woods. Exciting. I considered writing about Tiger, but knew I would probably piss off my large female demographic. So instead, here my first NFL Mock Draft of the year. Always enjoyable, always incredibly inaccurate.
1. St. Louis Rams- Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
Unless Bradford falls flat on on his face at Oklahoma's Pro Day, it looks like he has become the Rams' front runner. Ndamukong Suh may be the higher rated prospect, but the Rams can't overlook their need for a franchise QB. Bradford has injury concerns and played in a spread offense in college, but he still has the potential to be a franchise QB in the NFL.
2. Detroit Lions- Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma St.
Suh or Gerald McCoy looked like the surefire picks here for a while, but with the Lions' trade for DT Corey Williams, they can focus on an offensive lineman to protect last year's no.1 overall pick, Matthew Stafford. Okung is the highest rated OT, and should remain that way come draft time.
3. Tampa Bay Bucs- Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska
This is the perfect situation for the Bucs. They need a DT, and they should land either Suh or McCoy with this pick. Suh is the highest rated overall prospect by most teams, and it wouldn't shock me if some team tried to trade up with the Lions or Rams to grab him. He won't fall past the Bucs.
4. Washington Redskins- Brian Bulaga, OT, Iowa
Jimmy Clausen is a very real possibility here. But the Redskins' O-line was a complete mess last season, and current QB Jason Campbell had no chance at succeeding last year. He has one year left on his contract, so I expect the Skins to give him one more shot to be The Guy in Washington. Bulaga is the OT they sorely need.
5. Kansas City Chiefs- Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
Berry was widely considering to be this year's top prospect heading into the season, but disappointed a bit during the year. He's still easily the top DB prospect in this draft, and will be a huge upgrade for Kansas City's secondary.
6. Seattle Seahawks- Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma
Clausen is a very real possibility here as well, but McCoy is simply too good at a position of need for the Seahawks to pass up on here.
7. Cleveland Browns- Rolando McClain, LB, Alabama
The Browns would ideally like to see Berry fall to them here, but I doubt he gets past Seattle. The Browns need a linebacker, and McClain is easily the best in this year's class.
8. Oakland Raiders- Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland
Since Campbell put on an athletic show at the combine, everyone has been speculating he will be the main target of the Raiders. The pick make sense, as the Raiders do need an OT and they love drafting athletes. Of course, it makes so much sense that don't expect it to actually happen.
9. Buffalo Bills- Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame
Many people believe that Clausen is a better pro prospect that Bradford, however many people also believe Clausen has "maturity" issues, which may drop him a bit. Honestly, I think people just want Clausen to have maturity issues, but regardless he won't get past Buffalo here.
10. Jacksonville Jaguars- Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma St.
With the signing of Aaron Kampman, the Jags can look elsewhere besides DE. Joe Haden is another possibility here, but Bryant is too good to pass up.
11. Denver Broncos- Dan Williams, DT/DE, Tennessee
The Broncos will probably end up getting another 1st rounder with a Brandon Marshall trade. But for now, they will look to shore up their D-Line with Dan Williams here.
12. Miami Dolphins- Jason Pierre-Paul, DE/OLB, USF
Pierre-Paul only played one year at USF, but he is an athletic freak that could be incredible as a 3-4 edge rusher. He's raw, but the Dolphins will take a chance on his enormous upside here.
13. San Francisco 49ers- Joe Haden, CB, Florida
Haden is falling a bit due to his lackluster 40 time, but he's still the top CB in the class and would be great fit for the 49ers.
14. Seattle Seahawks- Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers
C.J Spiller is a very real possibility, but they already have a similar RB in Justin Forsett. Davis is very talented, but character issues will push him back a bit.
15. New York Giants- Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
Morgan is simply too good for the Giants to pass up here, especially with the uncertainly of Osi Umeniyora.
16. Tennessee Titans- Brandon Graham, DE, Michigan
The Titans desperately need a pass rusher, and Graham has been incredibly impressive in the off-season so far.
17. San Francisco 49ers- Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma
The Niners need a RT to play opposite Joe Staley, and get a potential steal here in Trent Williams
18. Pittsburgh Steelers- Sean Witherspoon, LB, Missouri
The Steelers LB corps isn't getting any younger. Witherspoon gives them an injection of youth that they desperately need.
19. Atlanta Falcons- Everson Griffen, DE, USC
The Falcons have been sorely disappointed with the play of former high pick Jamaal Anderson. They'll try again here with Griffen.
20. Houston Texans- Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State
Wilson has been flying up draft boards, and Houston will need a replacement for Dunta Robinson at corner.
21. Cincinnati Bengals- Golden Tate, WR, Notre Dame
Tate had a great combine and has established himself as the no.2 WR prospect behind Dez Bryant. Even if the Bengals sing T.O, they'll need a young guy going forward.
22. New England Patriots- Sergio Kindle, LB, Texas
The Patriots need an upgrade at rush linebacker, and Kindle is potentially a beast at the position.
23. Green Bay Packers- Jared Odrick, DE/DT, Penn State
There's a premium on players who are a good fit at 3-4 DE (see Jackson, Tyson). Odrick's stock is up and the Packers could certainly use some D-Line help.
24. Philadelphia Eagles- Earl Thomas, S, Texas
Thomas might be gone to the Bengals at 21, however I hope the Eagles wouldn't hesitate to take him at 24 if he's available. Thomas is the playmaker the Eagles need at safety, and with the first round DEs gone, this would be a no-brainer pick.
25. Baltimore Ravens- Brian Price, DE/DT, UCLA
While Jermaine Gresham is a possibility, the acquisition of Anquan Boldin allows the Ravens to look to the D-Line and Price here.
26. Arizona Cardinals- Jerry Hughes, DE/LB, TCU
The Cardinals need a pass rusher, and they get a potentially great one in Hughes.
27. Dallas Cowboys- Mike Iupati, G, Idaho
This'll be a no-brainer if Iupati's available. The Cowboys need a guard, and Iupati is a rare first-round guard.
28. San Diego Chargers- C.J Spiller, RB, Clemson
Spiller will most likely be gone by this pick, but with very few teams with a need at RB, he could fall a bit. Even though Sproles is coming back now, he can't handle the load by himself.
29. New York Jets- Taylor Mays, S, USC
With Kerry Rhodes gone, the Jets will need a replacement. Some question Mays' coverage abilities, but he has out of this world athleticism, and I can't see him falling out of the first round.
30. Minnesota Vikings- Maurkice Pouncey, C/G, Florida
The Vikings can use help at both center and guard, and Pouncey is easily the best Center in this class, and he can also slide over to guard.
31. Indianapolis Colts- Charles Brown, OT, USC
While Charlie Johnson is a serviceable LT, Brown is an upgrade here.
32. New Orleans Saints- Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida
The Saints need a DE in a big way, and being the Super Bowl champs, they can afford to take a risk on Dunlap, would could easily bust but has incredible potential if he keeps his head on straight.
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